Product Details

What is The Machine – Fantasy Football

The Machine –Fantasy Football  is ready to help you draft your winning team, right now! Never before available, The Machine – Fantasy Football  blends industry leading projections from AccuScore, CBS’s Dave Richard and Jamey Eisenberg, and FantasySharks into your league’s specific scoring rules, combined with powerful probability distributions, to give you draft, starting lineup, waiver and trade recommendations to build your team up now and all year! You no longer need to spend hours sorting through fantasy football magazines and sites on the internet, or speed reading through 800 pages of offensive line statistics. The Machine – Fantasy Football  already has that covered, and much, much more.

Every week, from the draft through the whole season including the playoffs, The Machine – Fantasy Football  analyzes available players, your roster and your opponents’ rosters to help your team be the strongest in the league.  By simulating your league with probability distributions, it understands the value of back up players on your roster and can help to find valuable players throughout every round of your draft to the end of your season. It knows how to trade weekly results balancing your probability to get into the playoffs versus actually winning the playoffs. The Machine – Fantasy Football  handles complex flex positions, individual defensive players (and even punters), multi-header weeks, and head-to-head, total fantasy point and victory point leagues. By processing millions of possibilities, The Machine - Fantasy Football  will help you find waiver and trade opportunities you never before realized existed. Because The Machine – Fantasy Football  measures all actions based on your probability to win the championship you finally have to the tool you need to give you confidence to accept, reject or make trade proposals.

The Machine – Fantasy Football  is easy to use. Whether this is your first year playing fantasy football, or if you are a repeating champion, The Machine – Fantasy Football  has the complete set of tools you need. Inexperienced players can utilize complete team management to look like professionals, or the gurus out there can use The Machine – Fantasy Football  as a guide that recommends smart moves as if it’s your own personal scouting team.
 

Key Features: The Machine - Fantasy Football

• Uses probability of winning your championship as the ultimate measuring stick for all recommendations
• Simulates your entire fantasy football season with powerful probability distributions
• Accurately models the value of unselected draft picks
• Makes valuable team management recommendations:
• Draft Picks
• Starting Lineups
• Waivers
• Trade Analysis
• Trade Recommendations
• Bye Week Planning
• Regular Season vs Playoff Trade Offs
• Comprehensive set of player positions including team players, punters, and individual defensive players
• Correctly handles leagues with win criterion of wins, total fantasy points or victory points
• New "Probability Probes" which enable you to see the inner workings of The Machine
• Enables you to blend and edit industry leading projections from AccuScore, Dave Richard of CBS, Jamie Eisenberg of CBS, and FantasySharks. (Coming soon)
  
• Simulate the results of every week of your entire season while accounting for player injuries, historical performance data, bye weeks, multi-header weeks and much more.
• Identify rising free agents before everyone else.
• Auto league import from MyFantasyLeagues (others pending).
  
• Player projections updated multiple times weekly.
   

How It Works

Create Player Projections:
The first step is to create fantasy point projections for all NFL players. Starting with projections that come from AccuScore, Dave Richard of CBS,Jamey Eisenberg of CBS, and FantasySharks, we blend these projections based on a mix that you specify and then apply your league’s scoring rules to generate a fantasy point projections for each player for each week.

Create Fantasy Point Probability Distributions:
Next, The Machine – Fantasy Football builds fantasy point probability distributions for each player based on historical projection variance¹ and accuracy² data.  Then it adds historic injury (and other events that prevent players from being available for a game) rates and account for backups on your roster to come up with a probability distribution for each week for each starting position.

Create Team Fantasy Point Probability Distributions:
Using the probability projections of each starter, The Machine – Fantasy Football builds total fantasy point distributions for each team for each week.  Using these distributions it is able to determine the probability to win matchups, build total season fantasy point distributions, or weekly ranking probabilities for leagues that use victory points.

Determine Playoff Probabilities
Next using the regular season probability simulation result, The Machine –Fantasy Football, uses advanced algorithms that account for league divisions to determine each team’s playoff seeding probabilities.

Calculate Probability to Win
Finally, The Machine – Fantasy Football calculates what you care about most, your probability to win it all! Using the playoff seeding probabilities and playoff matchup probabilities it calculates the probability each team will win the championship.

In a twelve-team league with eighteen-player rosters, The Machine generates over two million possible trades and runs the most likely trades through the Season Probulator to determine the impact of these trades on the two teams involved. Then out of the millions of possible trades, it finds the top handful of mutually beneficial trades that have the highest chance of being accepted by another team manager.

Produce Recommendations: 
And it does all this fast enough to support you in your 90-second draft! During the regular season, The Machine – Fantasy Football is able to calculate your probability to win for millions of potential waivers and trade transactions to aid you in. The Machine- Fantasy Football is designed to aid you in identifying the maximum number favorable transactions you can complete in the season, optimizing your probability to will win your league championship^*. Of course, it also does the easy stuff such as recommending a starting lineup each week.

Summary

The Machine – Fantasy Football provides a mathematically rigorous and accurate model of your league based on probability distributions.  If you are new to fantasy football, The Machine – Fantasy Football provides everything you need to play like a champion.  If you are an experienced fantasy football player, combine your knowledge of NFL players and gut instincts with the power of The Machine – Fantasy Football to get the best of Man** and Machine!

¹Variance is a measure of how much projections change from week to week over the course of the NFL season. This enables The Machine to accurately value backup players and therefore find high value picks in the deep rounds of the draft.

²Accuracy is a measure of how closely final projections match actual results.

*Fantasy football is a game of chance. No product can guarantee that you will win.

**as in "Mankind"